TrackerLast Updated: 4 Oct 2026
Irish PoliticsPolls & Projections

Polling Highlights

Latest poll: Ireland Thinks

leads by 2.8 points — a lead that has held steady over the past month.

Current frontrunner
Sinn Féin
11.7%
· Last poll 19% (-4)
All parties
30dSeats
More context
Govt approval
29%
62% disapprove · Ireland Thinks

Next General Election

1,162days
Term
36%dissolve by 17 Dec 2029

Polling: Next Irish General Election

Weighted average of all major polls. Recency & sample size adjusted.

Skip to this chart's data as a table
Source: Red C / Ireland Thinks / Ipsos B&A
Data verified: 4 Oct 2026
Pollsters: Red C, Ireland Thinks, Ipsos B&A

Poll History

Poll / Trend
Current Avg30 Day Trend
20.82%-0.3
18.02%-0.5
16.65%+0.9
10.12%-0.2
Hide Poll History

Shaded cells: green = came in above the trend average, red = below, by 0.1pt or more.

4 Oct '26
19%-1.8
18%
18%+1.4
11%+0.9
22 Sep '26
23%+1.8
17%-1.3
18%+1.6
8%-1.9
9 Sep '26
21%-0.1
18%-0.5
14%-1.7
11%+0.6
5 Sep '26
21%-0.4
19%+0.4
17%+1.0
10%
31 Jul '26
20%-0.9
20%+1.2
16%+0.3
10%-0.3
3 Jul '26
19%-1.9
20%+1.7
17%+1.0
12%+1.0
24 Jun '26
21%-0.4
18%+0.2
14%-1.9
12%+1.3
5 Jun '26
20%-1.8
19%+1.5
16%-0.2
12%+2.0
27 May '26
21%-1.3
17%
15%-1.8
10%+0.9
1 May '26
22%-1.3
17%+0.2
17%-0.1
9%+0.4
Show all 43 polls (33 more)

United Ireland Polling

Sep 2024
Yes: 64.00%
No: 17.00%
Undecided: 13.00%
Nov 2023
Yes: 64.00%
No: 16.00%
Undecided: 13.00%
Sep 2022
Yes: 66.00%
No: 16.00%
Undecided: 13.00%
Dec 2021
Yes: 62.00%
No: 16.00%
Undecided: 13.00%
Nov 2021
Yes: 60.00%
No: 25.00%
Undecided: 15.00%
May 2019
Yes: 65.00%
No: 19.00%
Undecided: 15.00%
Oct 2010
Yes: 57.00%
No: 22.00%
Undecided: 21.00%

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