TrackerLast Updated: 4 Oct 2026
HC

Holly Cairns

Leader of the Social Democrats

Satisfaction Rating · 4 Oct 2026
41%satisfied
+3vs 31 Jul 2026
39.7% weighted avg
Satisfied41%
0%100% satisfied

Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent asks whether people are satisfied or dissatisfied with each leader's performance, but only publishes the satisfied % — no dissatisfied breakdown is shown here because none has been published to verify. "Weighted avg" is satisfaction averaged across 9 real readings with a 3-month recency half-life (weighted by actual elapsed time between polls, since this series isn't evenly spaced), so it's less sensitive to any single reading's noise than the latest figure alone.

A separate, one-off Business Post/Red C, via Irish Examiner favourability reading (May 2026) scored Holly Cairns 47/100 — a different question and scale, not directly comparable to the satisfaction % above, shown here only because it's the one other real reading found for this leader.

Rank
1 of 5
major-party leaders, latest poll
Since Jan 2025
-5 pts
46% → 41%
Best reading
46%
30 Jan 2025
Worst reading
38%
31 Jul 2026
vs SD support
+31 pts
41% satisfied vs 10.1% party vote

Satisfaction over time

% satisfied with Holly Cairns's performance. Solid dots are each real poll's actual reading; the dashed line is a 3-month recency-weighted average (weighted by real elapsed time, not by reading count) with a shaded ±— pp margin-of-error band. These are the 9 real, individually-sourced readings found since January 2025 — coverage of this specific question is uneven, so gaps of several months between points are real gaps in available reporting, not missing data on this site's part.

ActualWeighted avg
Source: Ireland Thinks / Sunday Independent
Leader Since2023
ConstituencyCork South-West
Age36

Holly Cairns has led the Social Democrats since 2023, focusing on housing, climate action, and social justice policy. She represents Cork South-West in Dáil Éireann.

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